Friday, February 06, 2009

Ultimate Fight Night 17 Predictions

Main Card
Lightweight bout: Joe Lauzon vs. Jeremy Stephens "J-Stee" may have the Mortal Kombat uppercut of death on his side, but he lacks technique, size, and is coming in on short notice to take on "J-Lau." Joe isn't going to keep this on the feet long and if he doesn't submit Stephanie instantly, he'll grind him so deep into the canvas that he'll find BJ Penn.

WINNER-J-Lau by submission
Heavyweight bout: Cain Velasquez vs. Denis Stojnić Cain is going to dismantle the kickboxer like he has done everyone so far in his short but brutal career. The goal for Denis here is to be the 1st guy to get out of the 1st round with the 4-0 Velasquez.
WINNER-The man called Cain by AKA beatdown
Lightweight bout: Mac Danzig vs. Josh Neer Mac is back, rebounding from a frustrating loss to the ever loved Clay Guida, while the Miletich fighter is coming off a Split loss to Nate Diaz (hey, the winners just fought!). This is going to be another grind it out for Mac who is well prepared after his war with the "Carpenter" and with slicker stand up and submissions, expect the vegan to top the judges cards.
WINNER-Danzig by decision
Welterweight bout: Luigi Fioravanti vs. Anthony Johnson The odds on "Fight Of The Night" is supposed to be a strikers war, but don't be surprised if "Rumble" finds Super Mario's technically sound striking frustrating and takes this to the floor for some G&P. Johnson should wear down Luigi who likes to receive a bevvy of punishment to the face just to prove he is rarely stopped in a beating. Fiorvanti needs this to stay in the UFC while Anthony wants to keep climbing that looong ladder to the top of the Welterweight division. This will be his toughest test to date, but if he brings the cardio and can stay away from the KO hands of the ATT member, he has enough skill to win the points game in a close decision.
WINNER-Rumble squeaks one out
Prelims
Lightweight bout: Kurt Pellegrino vs. Rob Emerson "Batman" vs "The Saint" has all the Val Kilmer references you need so lets just get to the basics. I still think Rob is 1 dimensional and Kurt is well rounded and a far better fighter leading to a submission win.
WINNER-Pelligrino by not racing across the cage into Emerson's fist
Middleweight bout: Jake Rosholt vs. Dan Miller You know I'm high on the Miller brothers and that isn't going to change here. Sure Jake is the highly touted though as yet disappointing but superior wrestler, yet Dan has a better all around game and damned if I'm not going down with the ship. It's the advertised blue chipper versus the surprise underdog prospect.
WINNER-Dan Miller by dijon decision
Lightweight bout: Matt Grice vs. Matt Veach Matt the cop (Grice) takes on Matt (Veach) the Matt Hughes trained and HIT Squad rookie for the title of Lightweight Matt. I don't care for the 15 month layoff Grice had (though it did wonders for Stephan Bonnar in his comeback fight) but I think his quick starting style and higher level of experience causes this bout to go down like a subway beatdown of an unarmed kid on New Year's day (ooh that's a bit offsides).
WINNER-The Cop because the Police always win
Lightweight bout: Rich Clementi vs. Gleison Tibau ATT's GT is talented no doubt, but very inconsistent and "No Love" seems to know how to properly gameplan for everybody (that's 3 No's of a various sort, so far). Each man is coming from a loss and in Gleison's case 2, but I lean to the grizzled vet to take a lackluster decision.
WINNER-Rich "I Date A Porn Star Too" Clementi
Middleweight bout: Nick Catone vs. Derek Downey I gotta plead ignorance on both of these cats but I'm not picking they guy with the "Gentleman" as his nickname.
WINNER-Catone by however
Welterweight bout: Steve Bruno vs. Matthew Riddle Though I can't stand the little douche that still lives with his mommy, I going for correct picks here.
WINNER-Riddle by ground TKO

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