Friday, September 18, 2009

UFC 103 Frankin vs Belfort: The Genius Fight Picks

PPV
Catchweight (195 lb) bout: Rich Franklin vs. Vitor Belfort The "Phenom" is back and promptly misses making a catchweight for the main fight. Genius. Still the fight will go on and though Vitor seems to have that name the just makes people froth and think he is a world beater, what has he really done? He has won 4 in a row after the loss to
Dan Henderson in Pride FC back in 2006. Then dropping to 185, he defeats 2 so so eh fighters and KO'd Terry Martin who has lost 3 bouts in a row and has been KO'd a mere 6 times in his career! Then Belfort takes out an 80 year old Matt Lindland who is also known for a questionable chin and did I mention is 94 years old? Meanwhile, "Ace" has fought and beaten David Loiseau, Jason MacDonald, Yushin Okami, Travis Lutter, Matt Hamill, and Wanderlei Silva in the same time frame while only losing to Anderson Silva and a questionable Split-Decision loss to Dan Henderson. Rich is in better shape with better cardio and submissions though I agree he lacks the punching power of Belfort. There are many ways for Rich to win this fight and only 1 chance for Vitor. I'm just not sold on the guy like everyone else and expect Franklin to survive a storm at some point, and outthink the always mind fucked "Phenom" en route to victory.
WINNER-Rich Franklin by decision
Heavyweight bout: Mirko Filipović vs. Junior dos Santos We all know Cro Cop isn't the fighter he once was, but surgeries aside he is striving to be relevant again in the Heavyweight division. Jr. trains with
Team Nogueira and has never gone to decision in his 8-1 career. Mirko has only been KO'd twice in 33 bouts! The problem to me, is that if Mirko can still hang on the feet with "Cigano," he will be tapped on the ground. Santos is actually larger as well and to be honest, there is little reason to pick Cro Cop in this fight save the little voice in my head that says "he was one of the original guys you loved." Still, knowing I/we need a miracle, I refuse to pick against ATJ Lucko and will pick the Upset Winner. *UPDATE* Picking against Cro Cop doesn't mean I don't like the guy. Time to be rational.
WINNER-Jr. Santos by decision
Welterweight bout: Martin Kampmann vs. Paul Daley "Semtex" is here! Who cares? Paul is far smaller than the "Hitman" not to mention he is an average fighter with an extra large mouth. The "journeyman" "gatekeeper" fails in his UFC debut against the soon to be #1 contender to
GSP and the Welterweight title.
WINNER-Kampmann by sub Rd.2
Welterweight bout: Josh Koscheck vs. Frank Trigg These guys are very similar except for the fact "Kos" is a better wrestler, striker, younger, and faster than "Twinkle Toes." This is a bad matchup for Trigg who makes his return to the UFC only to get stomped by a younger version of himself.
WINNER-Koscheck by TKO Rd.3
Catchweight (159 lb) bout: Tyson Griffin vs. Hermes Franca Hermes always dyes his hair but it is crazy purple out of control this time. Check it out:) Unfortunately for the good guy, Franca hasn't enough game to top the little wrestler that could, in Tyson Griffin. Neither guy likes to finish a fight so expect a decently exciting decision with Griffin slowly pulling away with superior cardio.
WINNER-Tyson by decision
Prelims
Lightweight bout: Efrain Escudero vs. Cole Miller
*This fight will be shown for free on Spike TV so tune in!* Sure you only missed weight by 1 pound, but its still embarrassing Mr.TUF winner nobody cares about. Cole Miller is about 5 feet taller than Efrain, but he that can be a disadvantage when the little guy is wrestling based, and looking solely to take you down. Luckily, once to the floor whether by getting taken down, or by scoring a drop on his own, Cole has the Jiu-Jitsu and better game at this stage to get the job done.
UPSET PICK WINNER-Cole Miller by decision
Middleweight bout: Drew McFedries vs. Tomasz Drwal
*This fight will be shown for free on Spike TV so tune in!* This fight will be over quickly so don't blink. Both men throw to kill and 1 guy is going down. If by some miracle this fight goes past the 1st, Drwal will have more gas and impose his game against the 1-dimensional McFedries. Tomasz was a beast at 205, so at 185 I see him being even better. It'll be exciting but the odds go in Polands favor.
WINNER-Tomasz Drwal by Rd.1 TKO
Lightweight bout: Jim Miller vs. Steve Lopez Stephen has a lot of size on the younger Miller brother but don't expect it to do him much good. Jim has many more skills and experience which leads him to the win.
WINNER-Jim Miller by TKO Rd.2
Lightweight bout: Rafaello Oliveira vs. Nik Lentz "
J-Lau" gets hurt and an unready fighter gets the call to the big leagues. Good luck Nik.
WINNER-Oliveira by Rd.1 Submission
Welterweight bout: Rick Story vs. Brian Foster This counts as an "Upset Pick" because nobody knows who Mr. Foster is. I do. He's a
HITSquad member (Matt Hughes team) who can really throw down and will surprise "Horror" Story and his stupid nickname.
UPSET PICK WINNER-Brian Fosters by decision
Light Heavyweight bout: Eliot Marshall vs. Jason Brilz The "TUF" kid is going to be in trouble here. For as much as he has improved, Eliot isn't nearly as tough or well rounded as the 17-1 Brilz. He may get stopped but I'll give him the benefit of the doubt.
WINNER-Brilz by decision
Light Heavyweight bout: Vladimir Matyushenko vs. Igor Pokrajac Igor say thank you to Mirko for getting you this job. Pokrajac is a training partner on
Team Cro Cop but will lose quite easily here to the aged "Janitor."
WINNER-Vladimir the "Decisioner"
Lightweight bout: Rob Emerson vs. Rafael dos Anjos Look, the "Saint" sucks as a fighter but gets lucky on the feet every now and again. Anjos is a good fighter who was winning against
Jeremy Stephens before his head got knocked off and lost to Lightweight standout Tyson Griffin. Finally he gets an easier fight and taps the floor hapless Rob.
WINNER-Tres Anjos by sub Rd.3

This is a rather weak PPV (not even as good as UFN 19 Wednesday), especially since the UFC is purposely going up against boxing and the Mayweather/who ever he is fighting guy PPV. At least the boring Floyd is good for something, which is getting us 2 free fights on Spike TV. Save your money though for UFC 107 which has yet to be scheduled but is our next hope for a buyable PPV. Finally, can we get a guy on the scale for the weigh-ins who doesn't take 30 minutes to read the meter for each fighter? I like looking at the UFC ring girls as well but come on, there's more boys in boxers that need to take the stage as well.

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