Friday, October 22, 2010

UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez: Pick Predictions

UFC 121

Main Card (On PPV)
UFC Heavyweight Champion Brock Lesnar vs. Cain Velasquez The "biggest Heavyweight title fight of all time" comes to fruition with the horrible penis tattoo versus the potentially racist tattoo. Lesnar is coming in from a shaky win over Shane Carwin (who I think should have won the fight that the referee should have stopped) but leaner and as mean as always. "Brown Pride" just has game everywhere and if, if he can survive the early juggernaut's attack, the cardio plays into his favor as does his heavy handed stand up prowess. Brock can KO you with his toaster fists but can he catch Velasquez? I'm not so sure Cain doesn't keep this fight standing where he sticks and moves while avoiding the takedown at all costs. Its really a pick em fight but I do see some chinks in the heavy armor of the Champion that Cain will exploit with a smart safe gameplan and a 2nd wind near the end of the night.
WINNER-Cain Velasquez by Decision

Jake Shields vs. Martin Kampmann The great long awaited debut of Shields comes against the very well rounded and nearing a title shot himself, "Hitman." Marty should try to keep this standing where the advantage is his, but Shields always finds a way to floor opponents during his 14 fight win streak. Kampmann is good, but he's no Dan Henderson and Jake is hungry and desperate to impress. I like Jake to find the positions to win the fight though it should be competitive.
WINNER-Jake Shields by Decision

Paulo Thiago vs. Diego Sanchez This could be a real interesting fight with "Nightmare" clinging to relevance in the UFC and bringing the "Yes!" crazy. Thiago is a bad ass who will spank the insane attack style of Sanchez and keep him on the end of big punches. If they do go to the floor the Jiu-Jitsu blackbelt is more than capable of hanging with the wrestler and the size and power will be the difference as Diego hits a wall in his career.
WINNER-Paulo Thiago by Decision

Tito Ortiz vs. Matt Hamill Tito said Hamill has a "softer head" because he is deaf! "What?" is pissed and looking to destroy his old mentor to defend the deaf community. Nobody believes Ortiz has anything left to give and against a younger better version of himself, the talking won't save him. Matt is a better striker with stopping power and is probably better than Frito on the floor as well. Hopefully Matt pounds Tito through the mat claiming he could not hear the referee tell him to stop, but we will probably go to the cards and another unnecessary Tito ortiz excuse-fest after the students hand is raised.
WINNER-Matt Hamill by Decision

Brendan Schaub vs. Gabriel Gonzaga Its the new super-athletic Heavyweight versus the gatekeeper of the division who should be a world beater, but is known for crumbling when challenged or hurt which happens more and more. This fight is hard to pick though and I feel Brendan is still a bit green though his KO power disagrees. "Napao's" chin is pretty questionable at this point and I lean toward the "Hybrid" finding the sleep button and following it up with some fight ending G&P.
WINNER-Brendan Schaub by Rd.2 TKO

Prelims (On Spike TV)
Court McGee vs. Ryan Jensen I could not be less impressed with either of these guys though like Mike Guymon, McGee is a great story coming back from drug addiction. This has all the makings for a very boring fight. The "Crusher" has enough game to control on the floor if things get dicey on the feet not that Ryan is a very good striker. This is a build up fight for McGee and a win via judges nod.
WINNER-Court McGee by Decision

Patrick Cote vs. Tom Lawlor I like the "Predator 2" ta to stop the "Filthy" one perhaps after he settles down a bit. Its been a long road back for Cote but he has 1 punch KO power and takedown defense to frustrate Lawlor who must be on top to be competitive. Cote will find a home for that hammer of Thor hand and sends Tom out of the UFC.
WINNER-Patrick Cote by Rd.2 TKO

Prelims (Non-Televised)
Michael Guymon vs. Daniel Roberts Neither guy here really impresses though the "Joker" is a good story (battling depression & suicide) but I think Roberts has too many tools in the box. Dan can win anywhere and Guymon won't impress the Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu student which is kinda his only option.
UPSET WINNER-Daniel Roberts by Decision

Sam Stout vs. Paul Taylor This is going to be an exciting stand up war. Taylor always lives up to his name "Relentless" though his crazy sloppy striking is going earn him a drumming at the "Hands Of Stone." Stout is too technical and can keep distance with leg kicks while picking Paul apart. Should be exciting because Sam can't seem to stop anyone and Paul can absorb the punishment.
WINNER-Sam Stout by Decision

Gilbert Yvel vs. Jon Madsen The "Hurricane" has to bring the old furor to remain employed against his greatest weakness, a wrestler that L&P's for 15 minutes. Yvel is going to got crazy instantly but I'm guessing he will be taken down and dry humped.
WINNER-Jon Madsen by Decision

Dongi Yang vs. Chris Camozzi I like to say Dongi and I think he does win his UFC debut. The "Ox" is a South Korean buzz saw that has stopped every opponent (all but 1 by [T]KO) in his young 10-0 record. Camozzi is a TUF throwaway that doesn't impress anywhere and has a jackass looking grenade tattooed in the center of his chest. C'mon! Yang makes it good for the fans and gets a stoppage.
WINNER-Dongi Yank by Rd.1 TKO

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