Saturday, August 04, 2012

UFC On Fox 4 "Shogun" vs Vera: Picks & Prognostications


UFC on Fox 4
August 4, 2012
Staples Center
Los Angeles, California
Main Bouts (Fox):
Mauricio Rua (20-6) vs. Brandon Vera (12-5)  I’m not alone in the large group of MMA fans who are tired of hearing Vera proclaim, this time, this time, he’s ready to fight and fully prepared.  The “Truth” has frozen in so many fights and just look disinterested over and over to the point there is zero faith in him until he does something.  Anything.  “Shogun” is a future Hall of Famer who still has his skills and ability to kill in a blitzkrieg assault.  Vera brings nothing here as Rua hangs for a moment and then blitzes Brandon into submission setting up the rematch with Jon Jones or a more advantageous drive off.
WINNER-Mauricio Rua by Rd.2 TKO

Lyoto Machida (17-3) vs. Ryan Bader (14-2)  “Darth” is going to have a hell of a time catching and touching the “Dragon” especially with his slow blocky style.  Machida is free to target practice and point fight all evening avoiding Bader’s power in what may be a bit of a boring fight all in all.
WINNER-Lyoto Machida by Decision

Joe Lauzon (21-7) vs. Jamie Varner (20-6)  One of if not the most intriguing bouts of the evening, the resurgent Varner stormed into the UFC and is looking to knock off “J-Lau” the finisher.  I like Varner’s wrestling to give “J-Lau” fits while punishing him before taking a narrow victory.  This is the hardest bout to pick on the evening gamblers.
WINNER-Jaime Varner by Decision

Mike Swick
(14-4) vs. DaMarques Johnson (15-10)  Well, “Mr. Quick” is back from an upset tummy that held him out of action for over two years and ready for a triumphant return against low level TUF runner up.  The “Darkness” is ok as a fighter, but this should be a get right fight for “Quick” who unloads years of frustration on the feet stopping Johnson.
WINNER-Mike Swick by Rd.2 TKO
Prelims (Fuel TV):
Cole Miller
(18-6) vs. Nam Phan (17-10) Fran may be feuding with Sensei Master Steven Segal, but tonight he faces a large reach disadvantage and a very angry Miller brother.  Cole lost a Decision back in March and loves to bully people much like the tiny Nam.  Nam has decent striking but I have never seen any power and Phan just got abused in his last outing loss.  Miller may be hit and miss, but when he hits he hurts and uses his length well for submissions and I don’t think Phan has much talent and is mediocre everywhere.
WINNER-Cole Miller by Decision

Phil Davis (9-1) vs. Wagner Prado (8-0)  Good to see “Mr. Wonderful” get his smile back after a stagnate loss to Rashad Evans 8 months ago.  Davis may have hit the Light Heavyweight ceiling early but now he faces an undefeated and untested Brazilian, filling in for Chad Griggs.  Prado, its in there, hasn’t got much of a shot here in this showcase bout for Phil to get right and get back into the 205 mix against a man with titties.
WINNER-Phil Davis by Rd.2 Submission

Josh Grispi (14-3) vs. Rani Yahya (16-7)  The “Fluke” is the perfect name for this inconsistent fighter who quit in his last bout over a year ago.  The Brazilian is always going to be a tough out but his striking skills are always lacking greatly and everyone knows where to beat him.  Josh can fare quite well on the floor but he is facing a submission specialist though and its just hard to back a guy who visibly gave up in a fight.  I cannot get past it, let's see if Josh can.
WINNER-Rani Yahya by Rd.3 Submission

Phil De Fries (8-1) vs. Oli Thompson (9-3) In the battle of the British Heavyweights, one never takes the man who lists “strong man” competition as part of his MMA resume. 
WINNER-Phil De Fries by Decision

Manny Gamburyan (11-7) vs. Michihiro Omigawa (13-11-1) “Omygodwa” is a weathered 36 while the “Manvil” still has power left.  I expect zero judo from the judo practitioners instead rather a G&P evening heading to the cards.
WINNER-Manny Gamburyan by Decision

Ulysses Gomez (9-2) vs. John Moraga (10-1) “Useless” gets the late entrance to Zuffa’s loving wings and he should at least control the bout if he doesn’t stop Moraga late.
WINNER- Ulysses Gomez by Decison

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