Friday, September 28, 2012

UFC Nottingham or How I Learned To Stop Worrying & Love UFC On Fuel TV 5 Struve vs Miocic: Picks & Prognostications



UFC Nottingham or UFC on Fuel TV 5: Struve vs. Miocic
September 29, 2012
Capital FM Arena
Nottingham, England
Main Bouts (Fuel TV):
Stefan Struve
(24-5) vs. Stipe Miocic (9-0)  “Skyscraper” faces Steepay in a bout guaranteed to not go the full 5 rounds.  The 7 footer has shown a penchant to get hurt by big swingers but he also possesses some stout punching power not to mention a slick submission game.  Miocic is an undefeated wrestler with strong hands and an ability to absorb a lot of unnecessary punishment.  This should be a very close fight but with the range of Struve and his wealth of experience, I expect him to pull out the victory even if he gets dropped finding his marbles long enough to pull the needed sub from hell.
Upset Pick WINNER-Stefan Struve by Rd.3 Submission

Dan Hardy (24-10) vs. Amir Sadollah (6-3)  The “Outlaw” is finally off the snide and after a spiritual awakening in Peru while taking Ayahuasca, the hometown, not homeland but hometown, hero is looking to win in the biggest way possible.  Amir is the under or over achieving TUF winner (depending on how you look at these days) who has shown to be very tough, and sometimes even technical, but mostly just a run of the mill not ready for prime time player.  It is possible Amir could be more busy in the fight, but my heart tells me the “Outlaw” is going to run game on the kid doing it up correct for the homies in attendance with more power striking even if he gets out landed.  Either way, its gonna be a fun one.
WINNER-Dan Hardy by Decision

Brad Pickett (21-6) vs. Yves Jabouin (18-7)  “One Punch” Pickett the English pikey has stumbled against some of the elite (Scotty Jorgensen and Interim Champ Renan Pegado) but for the most part he is one of the best 135ers in the world today.  Brad has stopped 16 men in his career but not must face the Canadian “Tiger” who rides a 3 fight winning streak and has finished 11 of his opponents with his exciting and deadly stand up.  Yves has also been subbed 3 times in his career and is about to make it 4.  Pickett is absolutely stellar on the mat and will finish things there inside of 15 minutes.
WINNER-Brad Pickett by Rd.2 Submission

Paul Sass (13-0) vs. Matt Wiman (14-6)  The “Sassangle” is still undefeated stopping ? of his opponents all by the submissions they know are coming.  “Handsome” is the epitome of the “gatekeeper” label in the Lightweight division.  Matt may not be able to break the glass ceiling but he is very durable and smart enough not to play the ground game here.  Wiman sprawls and brawls beating up Paul and giving him his 1st professional loss.
Upset Pick WINNER-Matt Wiman by Decision

John Hathaway (16-1) vs. John Maguire (18-3)  “Gypsy Jiu-Jitsu” in the hizzle bizzle!  The battle of the British Johns sees the single loss “Hitman” continuing to build an impressive career against a sturdy if not flashy ground fighter.  This fight may not set the building afire but it will display a chess like battle that Hathaway is destined to win with his better all around skills.
WINNER-John Hathaway by Decision

Che Mills (14-5) vs. Duane Ludwig (21-13)  I’m amazed every time I see “Bang” in another bout.  The 34 year old is a veteran who has taken a ton of punishment throughout his career and is actually 74 in fight years.  “Beautiful” just got embarrassed against Rory MacDonald in excruciating fashion last out and is looking to erase that nightmare at home.  Look, Che is a striker and “Bang” is a striker.  The problem is that “Bang” has been (T)KO’d 6 times now and the light has definitely faded on his career.  This may be the final coffin nail for Ludwig’s long career but he’ll go down swinging.
WINNER-Che Mills by Rd.2 KO
Prelims (Facebook):
Kyle Kingsbury
(11-4) vs. Jimi Manuwa (11-0)  Kyle was dumb enough to ride a motorcycle and road rashed his back up but will compete anyway.  “Poster Boy” is a striking machine who has finished every single opponent faced and is making his UFC debut.  Kingsbury is tough enough but the AKA fighter is going to need to retreat to the mat if he hopes to survive for 15 minutes.  He won’t.
WINNER-Jimi Manuwa by Rd.3 TKO

Andy Ogle (8-1) vs. Akira Corassani (9-3)  Ogle is riding a 7 fight win streak and appeared on the failed “Live” season of TUF (16), while Akira is “that guy” from TUF 14 who tapped out but the referee missed it and he survived not owning up to his lucky break.  I don’t care much about this.
Upset Pick WINNER-Andy Ogle by Decision?

Tom Watson (15-4) vs. Brad Tavares (8-1) “Kong” or the English Phil Baroni, is finally making his long awaited Zuffa debut.  “Kong” gave up his BAMMA Middleweight title to play with the big boys and 1st gets Xtreme Couture’s Hawaiian banger.  This should be a fun back and forth bone throwing exhibition until Tom gets tired and Tavares runs him over.
WINNER-Brad Tavares by Rd.3 TKO

Gunnar Nelson (9-0-1) vs. DaMarques Johnson (16-11)  A lot of hype comes with the Renzo Gracie phenom who is an undefeated Jiu-Jitsu killer. DaMarques is that annoying gnat of a fighter who is always there and just never seems to go away no matter how badly we want him to.  This is an ideal match for Nelson to get situated with the Octagon and he catches the “Darkness” doing something stupid eventually.
WINNER-Gunnar Nelson by Rd.2 Submission

Jason Young (9-5) vs. Robert Peralta (15-3)  Wow, who gives a shit about this bout?
Upset Pick WINNER-Robert Peralta by Decision

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