Friday, September 24, 2010

UFC 119 CroCop vs Mir PPV Picks *Weigh-In Updates In Depth!


UFC 119: September 25, 2010
Conseco Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana

Main Bouts (PPV):
Frank Mir (13-5) vs. Mirko Filipovic (27-7-2) Mir's shit talk was on point to set up this lackluster PPV, but poking "Cro Cop" may not be the best idea. Sure Mirko took this fight on 5 weeks notice and got an eye injury that almost cancelled the fight (doctor's did tell him not to fight but it was his decision), but the right leg always brings the hospital as the left leg brings the morgue. Mir is nothing but a confident/arrogant man who will test "Cro Cop" on the feet which is smart considering how durable he has proven to never be. That being said, Filipovic has a small window of time to put Frank away before Mir smartens up and takes this fight to the mat where "Cro Cop" gets injured badly as his pride refuses to let him tap. I personally don't care about all this and will always pick 1 of my all time favorites no matter if he fought Ditka and Chuck Norris by himself. "He should pray god not to be knocked out." -Mirko Filipovic
WINNER-Mirko "Cro Cop" by Rd.1 KO!!
* Mir was roundly boo'd at the weigh-ins as "Cro Cop" showed nothing but respect as always and showed no visible eye damage. Mir is down in weight again at 252 where he should be while "Cro Cop" is at the standard 227.

Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (19-3) vs. Ryan Bader (11-0) I had "Darth Bader" winning this fight before I heard that "Lil Nog" was upset by getting a "no name" opponent and reports that he was out of shape and coasting in training. That's not a good idea against the Arizona wrestler with youth and big power in his hands. The left handed Rogerio may cause some problems technically on the feet but Bader will get the takedown and as Jason Brilz showed, American wrestling wins the day against Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. I'm not happy about it. That's just how it is today.
WINNER-"Darth Bader" by Rd.3 TKO

Chris Lytle (29-17-5) vs. Matt Serra (11-6) [Rematch] It was November 2006 as these 2 veterans closed out season 4 of TUF with a controversial Split-Decision that favored Serra though many including myself, scored it for Lytle. Serra went on to shock the world and have a cup of tea with the Welterweight title while "Lights Out" and his go-for-broke style earned him a cult following and a slew of Fight Night bonuses. I like Lytle back fighting in his hometown, to get hurt or cut early and storm back with a blitzkrieg flurry though I don't know if Matt gets stopped. I also would not be shocked if Serra's coma inducing hand crushed Lytle's skull but I'm a sucker for the hometown boy does good story line.
WINNER-Chris Lytle by Decision
* Lytle got his dragon tattoo finished and it looks pretty kick ass surprisingly. Serra is still really small.

Evan Dunham (11-0) vs. Sean Sherk (32-4-1) Nobody should want to see the roided out "Muscle Shark" miss with his midget armed striking and yawn the crap out of us with his brilliantly boring wrestling. Thankfully, Evan is a straight badass with fight finishing ability anywhere the fight goes! That is a strong statement and proves how deadly the kid is. I'll worry all day that Sherk will dry hump Dunham for 15 minutes but Dunham is amazing off his back and slick on the feet while easily evading Sean's slow troll attack. Sean can take a ton of abuse so look for a smart effort if not the most exciting en route to the score cards.
WINNER-Evan Dunham by Decision

Melvin Guillard (25-8-2) vs. Jeremy Stephens (17-5) The "Blonde Bomber" will need his pretty damn good takedown defense at top level because the "Lil Heathen" is going to bring the shot all night long. Mel actually called out Jeremy for this fight and Joe Silva listened. Now he has to back it up as both men bring 1-punch KO power to the feet though Stephens has the advantage in the wrestling. I see Guillard doing the S&B at the behest of super-trainer Greg Jackson and playing it smart to a judges nod or perhaps a sweet KO if we're lucky.
WINNER-The "Young Well Traveled Assassin" by Decision
* Nice stare down at the weigh-ins as these 2 fellas don't like each other much.

Prelim Bouts (
On Spike TV):
C.B. Dollaway (10-2) vs. Joe Doerksen (46-12) CB sucks and is the classic frat boy douche bag. "El Dirte" is the weathered veteran who has been abused in his career, but has that slick submission game Dollagay is known to fall for.
Upset Pick WINNER-"El Dirte" by Rd.2 Submission

Matt Mitrione (2-0) vs. Joey Beltran (12-3) The "Mexicutioner" can throw some hands but Matt's form will be better and more powerful not to mention, he'll hopefully have better cardio. The gas tank wasn't great against Kimbo Slice but Beltran's is awful. He should fight at Light Heavyweight but fighting here Joe will find frustration on the feet, before Mitrione takes him down and shows that in grappling, the Mexican't. (Come on that's a good pun)
WINNER-Matt Mitrione by Rd.3 Submission
* Joey felt disrespected by Matt when he wouldn't acknowledge Beltran back stage and got his dander up. At the weigh-ins, Joey looked pretty soft but the 2 men exchanged smiles like they were old buddies.

Prelim Bouts (Non-Televised):
Steve Lopez (12-2) vs. Waylon Lowe (8-3) Losing to Jim Miller ain't no crime (Lopez), but losing to Melvin Guillard should be (Lowe). Get Lowe and pray for a quick end.
WINNER-Waylon Lowe by Decision
* Lopez has a nice reach advantage but Lowe has a sun tattoo around his belly button so there you have it.

T.J. Grant (15-4) vs. Julio Paulino (17-3) The "Dominican Demon" (sweet name) is going to find a similar lack of success as he did last time out against Mike Pierce which ended in a loss. TJ all day.
WINNER-TJ Grant by Decision

Mark Hunt (5-6) vs. Sean McCorkle (9-0) This is a strange diddy. Hunt gets the final fight from his Pride FC contract back in 2006 which is also the last time won a fight in his last 6 attempts. Sean is a bit of an odd duck who became an Internet sensation with all the absurdities he spews and hasn't fought anyone of any note. He is a big boy (6'7" 265 lbs.) with heavy hands but Hunt is known for a granite chin and some decent K-1 style striking. Mark needs this and by durability survives until he finally delivers that huge punch and hopefully, the "atomic butt drop."
WINNER-Mark Hunt Rd.2 KO
*Hunt looked decent at 265 lbs. while McCorkle looked like a former fat guy who dropped a lot of weight. Which he is.

Thiago Tavares (14-3-1) vs. Pat Audinwood (9-0-1) Tavvy has all the tools to end Pat's unbeaten streak, save for a stunning ability to check out of fights before they end. However, Pat's nickname is "Awesomely Awesome" which is pretty awesome. Tavares has more offense to win by stoppage or Decision and should know his job is on the line considering Efrain Escudero, a fighter with perhaps more potential, just got bounced.
WINNER-Thiago Tavares by Decision

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