Friday, September 22, 2017

BELLATOR 183 Henderson vs. Pitbull: Picks, Prognostications + Odds


Benson Henderson (24-7) -220 vs. Patricky Freire (17-8) +180

Things have not gone well for "Bendo" as the former UFC Lightweight Champion as he lost his Welterweight experiment to Andrey Koreshkov, then got lucky when Patricio Freire got injured in his 2nd outing, and last out got routed by Lightweight Champion Michael Chandler (though there is no shame in that). Henderson has always been a points fighter who tries to steal rounds in the final moments, but there is no doubt the guy is talented and can squirm his way out of almost any submission.

Brother "Pitbull" is coming to defend his brother bringing knockout power and a so-so all around game.

Patty will need to land that big bomb and we'll always love the guy for destroying the cunt Josh Thomson, but he's just an average competitor facing a far better athlete. Freire is going to come forward allowing Henderson to counter and stay out of danger while using his non-stop kicks. Finally, if Pat has proven anything with his resume, he can't win against top tier talent.

WINNER-Benson Henderson by Decision

Roy Nelson (22-14) -240 vs. Javy Ayala (10-5) +200

"Big Country" has arrived in Bellator to mix up the Heavyweight division. At the age of 41, Nelson has made the move after last losing in the UFC in April. Roy is known for his chin of granite and sick knockout power. Keep in mind Nelson hasn't been putting out the most effort in recent years and its doubtful he'll find inspiration now. 

Ayala is 5-2 in Bellator and coming off his Upset win over Sergei Kharitonov last November. "Eye Candy" is also a big hitter but far less proven.

We'll have to ride with Roy until he proves he can't hang in the lower promotion. Javy needs to prove he can maintain any semblance of cardio past the 2nd round.

WINNER-Roy Nelson by Rd.2 TKO

#8 Lorenz Larkin (18-6) -275 vs. Paul Daley (39-15-2) +235

Remember the last time "Semtex" fought and got thoroughly embarrassed by Rory MacDonald? That was fucking great! Daley is a piece of shit with bombs in his hands and an unprofessional streak in his DNA. There is not much left in Paul and retirement is on the horizon.

The "Monsoon" lost his Bellator debut/title match in June to Champion Douglas Lima, but he is still a savvy fighter who can kickbox with the best of them. People are saying there is a "gentleman's agreement" and these guys will strike on the feet which is just stupid. Why not get a much needed win by competing in your opponents weakest area? Larkin is smarter than that and though we think he can win on the feet as well, here's hoping he takes Daley down just to piss off the Brit bitch.

WINNER-Lorenz Larkin by Decision

Adam Piccolotti (9-0) -160 vs. Goiti Yamauchi (21-3) +140

Jiu-Jitsu war! The "Gooch" has 17 submission wins in his career and a 9-2 record in Bellator. 

However, "Pickle" has a decent jab he can work behind as well as hanging with Yamauchi if they go to the canvas. Go with the undefeated and more well rounded competitor.

WINNER-Adam Piccolotti by Decision



Aaron Pico (0-1) -700 vs. Justin Linn (7-3) +500

Has any highly touted prospect ever had a worse debut ever in MMA? Signed to Bellator when he was only 18, Pico trained for two years making his debut in June, and was promptly rocked by and uppercut, dropped, and submitted in just 0:24 by Zach Freeman. Yeesh! As humiliating as the initial outing was for "Rosco Pico Train," these things happen and he is just a youngster beginning his MMA career. Aaron is also training at well respected AKA and is moving down in weight to 145. All of these things and the fact that you just never truly know what will happen in MMA, gives Pico a pass. The kid is a highly decorated wrestler and he'll like come out with a more measured approach while trying to get comfortable in the cage and wrestling Linn into the ground (who has lost his last 2 bouts). All is not lost and Aaron gets back to .500.

WINNER-Aaron Pico by Decision


Brooke Mayo (0-1) vs. Kaytlin Neil (0-2)

"Hold The" Mayo lost her MMA debut in February when she suffered a nasty eye injury the closed her orb completely! Now Brooke has found a home at Team Alpha Male and trains alongside the stellar Cynthia Calvillo. Mayo is Jiu-Jitsu based but is looking to show her skills on the feet as well. Neil has been sent as fodder for the lovely lass and will be dispatched with prejudice. 

WINNER-Brooke Mayo by Decision

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