Saturday, March 07, 2009

UFC 96 Picks & (spoiler) PPV NOT Worth Buying

The emails have been overpowering this week with requests for my oh so brilliant MMA picks. A little late but back on the job I'll take you through Joe Silva's latest endeavor and pick my shots with the Zuffa tyrant. Though UFC 96 is not a PPV you should shell out money for, there are some interesting match ups and MMA is always fascinating.
Main Card
Light Heavyweight bout: Quinton Jackson vs. Keith Jardine Everyone loves to comment on how "awkward" Jardine is and thus his "style" gives people fits. Not so sure about all that. Rampage has just adjusted his game to a whole new level since joining the UFC. Consider his only loss came in a 5 round fight with Forrest Griffin which was a razor thin decision. Keith has been decimated early twice against Wanderlei Silva and the over-hyped Houston Alexander while also losing a close decision to former contender Stephan Bonnar. Rampage can take a lot of punishment if he needs to (look at his record: prior to Griffin, he was only beaten by 2 men since 2002. Durable to say the least and Jardine's chin doesn't have that resume. The Wolfslair made the proper adjustments for the oncoming leg assault the "Dean Of Mean" always brings, so expect a focused and mentally healthy Jackson to eventually take out the tough TUF alum for a proper win.
WINNER-Rampage via TKO Rd.3
Heavyweight bout: Shane Carwin vs. Gabriel Gonzaga 2 very big Heavyweights clash with the winner getting into title contention. "Napao" rose to the top only to be dismantled by then Champion Randy Couture. Gonzaga has the all around game Shane lacks and experience out of the 1st round. Carwin has sick power and is the 2nd coming of Mark Coleman, but strength and wrestling is all he's got. It could turn either way with a punch from Shane, but the percentages lean toward Gabe's experience.
WINNER-Napao by tough decision
Welterweight bout: Matt Brown vs. Pete Sell Here we have 2 guys that don't belong in the UFC. Neither man will ever even ascend to "gatekeeper" status but hey, at least this looks like a loser leaves town match. I wouldn't say "Drago" is reborn at Welterweight, but he is better suited here than as a Middleweight. More game for Drago but Brown is tough so expect a decent slugfest from 2 guys who can't do much else.
WINNER-Pete Sell by decision
Light Heavyweight bout: Matt Hamill vs. Mark Munoz Wrestler vs wrestler, but Matt has better skills in every department. He should stop Munoz but if not expect an ugly boring bout with spectacular post fight interview.
WINNER-Hamill by decision
Lightweight bout: Gray Maynard vs. Jim Miller As a big time Miller Brothers fan, I hate to see this match up. Jim is tough as they come, but Gray lives up to his nickname of the "Bully" in about every fight. The Xtreme Couture fighter has tight wrestling and his stand up game is coming along but the swing is Maynard's ability to own guys with his power and out work them. Miller will keep the sometimes boring Gray active and create a good strong fight that Jim won't win on the judges card.
WINNER-Gray Maynard by decision
Prelims
Welterweight bout: Tamdan McCrory vs. Ryan Madigan McCory comes off a tough loss to the uber-talented Dustin Hazelett but has reach, stamina, superior striking and scrambling than his undefeated (5-0) and untested opponent. Write this 1 down for surly nerds everywhere.
WINNER-The Barn Cat by TKO Rd.2
Middleweight bout: Kendall Grove vs. Jason Day I would just like to take the time to say I miss Evan Tanner who had his final fight against douche Grove. Lankey dumb ass glasses wearing Hilo boy wins but I'm praying for a "Doomsday" outta nowhere KO.
WINNER-Spyder by decision
Light Heavyweight bout: Tim Boetsch vs. Jason Brilz The "Barbarian" pillages his way through flabby who I don't know much about save an inflated record (16-1).
WINNER-Bo by TKO Rd.2
Light Heavyweight bout: Brandon Vera vs. Mike Patt The "Truth" has admitted to not training properly, getting arrogant, and looking just dreadful in his last 4 fights of which he has 1 win. Lesson learned, bad for Patt.
WINNER-Brandon Vera by TKO Rd.1
Lightweight bout: Aaron Riley vs. Shane Nelson Overrated Hilo fighter #2 on the card is no match for the no nonsense Aaron Riley. Shane's only shot is to pull a submission out of his ass and Riley is too experienced.
WINNER-Aaron Riley by straight mauling

Purchasing weak PPV's only allows Zuffa to continue to put them on. Take the night off the watch the event for free on the Internet the next day. I'll link UFC 96 for you.

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