Wednesday, June 14, 2017

UFC Fight Night 111: Fight Card, Picks, Prognostications + Odds


June 17, 2017
Singapore Indoor Stadium
Kallang, Singapore

Main Card on UFC Fight Pass:

#5 Holly Holm (10-3) -550 vs. Bethe Correia (10-2-1) +425

Oh, poor lady Holly. "The Preacher's Daughter" was a boxer who came into MMA undefeated from her previous sport, and then ran off 10 wins in a row including defeating the "unbeatable" Ronda Rousey for the UFC Bantamweight title. Now Holm has lost 3 in a row, though if you saw the title tilt against Germaine "Scared Shitless of Cyborg" de Randamie, than you know she should have been awarded the victory to become the UFC Featherweight Champion, but we digress. Now Holly must get off to a quick start establishing her range, timing, and striking before she finds herself trying to ketchup (sic) once again.

"Bitch Correia" (low hanging fruit but accurate) comes into this contest 1-2-1 in her last 4 including a close/controversial Split Decision win over Jessica Eye. The stocky Brazilian is a fellow striker who excels at aggression and has power in her combinations.

The lovely Holly should hold a lot of advantages in this matchup. Holm will have a crazy height and reach advantage not to mention the face she is the superior athlete with much, much greater footwork. "The Preacher's Daughter" may not finish "Pitbitch" (we just can't help ourselves) but she should run up the scorecards and possibly pitch a shutout. 

WINNER-Holly Holm by Decision

Andrei Arlovski (25-14,1) +200 vs. Marcin Tybura (15-2) -240

For the 2nd time in his long career, the "OG Pitty" is on a 4 fight losing streak and many are calling for his retirement. Andrei has been finished in every one of those losses, 3 of which came by (T)KO. Arlovski will always have a good right hand and some boxing technique, but he did not even train at Jackson-Wink and there are strong rumors that a lot in his personal and professional life went badly in this camp. These are not good signs for war torn 38 year old.

The Pole has gone 1-2 in his UFC run and finished both opponents in his wins. Tybura has nice counters and can grapple a bit and thus far his chin has been solid. 

Its not impossible that the "Belarus Vampire" lands a big shot that gains him a crazy highlight win, but highly doubtful. Time waits for no man and Andrei is about out of time and options. Marcin will finish this as the call for Arlovski's retirement becomes louder.

WINNER-Marcin Tybura by Rd.1 TKO

Dong Hyun Kim (22-3-1) +265 vs. Colby Covington (11-1) -325

"The Donger" has won 3 in a row since his last loss to eventual Welterweight Champion Tyron Woodley, and looked great in his last effort against Tarec Saffiedine. Kim is a reckless striker who prefers to do something fancy rather than secure a win. Great for us fans, not the smartest thing for his career.

Covington is boring as fuck but a stalwart wrestler and you can't really fault him for his lame style when it has garnered him a 6-1 record in the UFC. 

If Kim is going to win this he must, must, must, stay off the mat. The "Stun Gun" does have decent takedown defense but if he can't force the standup and pepper Covington with enough strikes, he'll fall. 

WINNER-Colby Covington by Decision

Rafael dos Anjos (25-9) -265 vs. Tarec Saffiedine (16-6) +225

RDA lost his Lightweight gold last July and the follow-up to #1 contender Tony Ferguson and now he is making the jump up to 170's. Dos Anjos has a history of rough weight cuts and this could be a smart move but time will tell. Rafael has left King's MMA to open his own academy and the result have been a loss. Not smart.

Since joining the UFC as the final Strikeforce Welterweight Champion, Saffiedine has suffered multiple injuries with long layoffs, and a paltry record of 2-3. At least Tarec got back to steady work in '16 even if the results were mixed. The "Sponge" is a leg kicking machine with solid cardio and is good everywhere, but not great.

RDA has the speed and angles to make this a tough night for Saffiedine. Tarec is more of a gatekeeper while dos Anjos can really be a special fighter when he puts things all together. MMAFO believes Raf will be more durable and more dangerous without such a terrible weight cut to deal with which will lead to new life in MMA.

WINNER-Rafael dos Anjos by Decision

Prelims on UFC Fight Pass:

Takanori Gomi (35-12,1) +260 vs. Jon Tuck (9-4) -320

"The Fireball Kid" has been one of MMAFO's favorites since 2004 when he was rolling and about to become the best Lightweight fighter in the world! A lot can change in 13 years and Gomi has struggled mightily in the UFC going 4-7, losing his last 3, and rarely fighting more than once a year at the age of 38. Speed is the 1st to go and the thing Takanori has relied heavily upon for his successes. However, power is the last to leave and Gomi has it in spades. 

If you think MMAFO is going to talk much about Tuck you haven't been paying attention. This guy is garbage and his time in the UFC is fading fast.

Call us crazy, but we see Gomi launching a super saiyan attack for one last time, anhiliating Tuck and claiming victory atop the Octagon and turning back the clock to 2005, even if its just for one night!

Upset Pick WINNER-Takanori Gomi by Rd.1 TKO

Cyril Asker (8-2) +285 vs. Walt Harris (9-5) -345
Upset Pick Winner-"The French Silverback"
Alex Caceres (12-10) -325 vs. Rolando Dy (8-4-1,1) +265
Winner-"Bruce Leeroy"
Justin Scoggins (11-3) -500 vs. Ulka Sasaki (19-4-2) +400
Winner-"The South Carolinian Prick"
Jingliang Li(12-4) -420 vs. Frank Camacho (20-4) -335
Winner-"The Leech"
Kwan Ho Kwak (9-1) -125 vs. Russell Doane (14-7) +105
Winner-KHK
Naoki Inoue (10-0) -275 vs. Carls John De Tomas (6-0) +235
Winner-"Hakushinkai"


Ji Yeon Kim (6-0-2) +110 vs. Lucie Pudilova (6-2) -130 
Winner-Puddin'

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